Sunday, January 08, 2006

The Lorenz Paradigm

Do read this from Envirospin. Common sense and science can be one! To quote:

"computations of forecast skill are much harder than the forecasts themselves, and the next level, forecasting the skill of the skill forecast, is insurmountable when a complex system such as the climate is involved"

2 Comments:

Anonymous Mathew said...

Paul, just discovered your blog (via Crooked Timber) and very much like what I read. Most informative and entertaining.

9:43 PM  
Blogger focalplane said...

Mathew, you are most welcome! The scales are swinging in our favor as the scales come off the eyes of those who are supposed to do the reporting!

9:51 PM  

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